Opposition headquarters, riot police and the absolute dictator by Edoardo Moretti

If the reports are accurate that riot police were deployed to the headquarters of Turkey’s main opposition Republican People’s Party (CHP) to force the removal of party leader Özgür Özel, then the significance of the moment extends far beyond an internal political dispute. It would represent another alarming milestone in the long transformation of Turkish politics from competitive democracy toward something far less democratic: a system in which the state increasingly acts not as an impartial referee but as an instrument of one man’s political survival.

Authoritarianism rarely arrives with a dramatic declaration. It does not usually announce itself by abolishing elections overnight or banning opposition parties in a single stroke. Instead, it advances incrementally. Institutions are weakened. Courts become less independent. Media outlets face pressure. Political rivals are investigated, prosecuted, or sidelined. Each individual step can be defended as legal, procedural or necessary. The cumulative effect, however, is unmistakable.

Turkey has spent years traveling down that road. President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan once presented himself as a reformer who would strengthen democratic institutions and reduce the power of unelected elites. For a time, many observers believed that promise. Yet the trajectory of the past decade has pointed in a very different direction. Political power has become increasingly centralized. Critical voices have faced growing pressure. Elections continue to occur, but the political environment surrounding them has become steadily less fair and less competitive.

That is what makes the image of riot police at the headquarters of the country's largest opposition party so powerful. Democracies rely on a basic principle: opposition parties must be free to organize, debate, choose their leaders, and challenge those in power without interference from the state. Once security forces become involved in determining who leads the opposition, a dangerous line has been crossed.

The issue is not whether one supports Özel, Erdoğan, or any particular political faction. Democratic systems are designed precisely so that political disagreements can be resolved through persuasion and elections rather than coercion. The moment state power appears to be deciding internal opposition matters, politics ceases to be a contest between rivals and begins to resemble a managed performance.

History offers countless examples of how this process unfolds. Governments that grow uncomfortable with genuine competition rarely outlaw opposition immediately. Instead, they seek to domesticate it. Opposition parties are divided, weakened, infiltrated, or transformed into symbolic institutions that pose little threat to the ruling establishment. Elections remain, but meaningful alternatives gradually disappear.

The tragedy for Turkey is that it possesses the institutions, political traditions, and civic energy necessary to sustain a vibrant democracy. Millions of Turkish citizens continue to participate in politics, vote, campaign, and speak out despite mounting obstacles. Their commitment demonstrates that democratic aspirations remain alive.

But democratic aspirations alone cannot preserve democratic systems. Institutions matter. Political norms matter. Limits on executive power matter.

If riot police are being used to shape the leadership of the country's principal opposition party, then Turkey is moving beyond the familiar territory of democratic backsliding and toward something more troubling: a political order where opposition is tolerated only when it ceases to be genuinely oppositional. At that point, the question is no longer how strong the ruling party has become. The question is whether meaningful political competition still exists at all.


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