Syria’s Afghani loop by Robert Perez

There’s a haunting familiarity in the unfolding chaos in Syria, a tragic opera where the actors may have changed, but the script feels eerily similar. The headlines scream about alliances, interventions, and betrayals, while on the ground, ordinary people bear the brunt of imperial ambitions. Once again, the geopolitical chessboard has been set, with the United States, Turkey, and Israel leading their distinct agendas, while Russia reprises its role as the perennial villain. The spectre of Afghanistan’s past looms large, not just as a cautionary tale but as a tragic blueprint seemingly being followed step by step.

At the heart of Syria’s tragedy lies a simple truth: the country is not seen as a nation by the major powers, but as a means to an end. The United States, ever the self-proclaimed global guardian of democracy, once again plays its dual role of protector and destroyer. With rhetoric about freedom and stability, the U.S. intervenes militarily while enabling destabilization through its alliances. Washington’s focus on containing Iranian influence often overrides the suffering of Syrians, reducing the nation’s woes to mere collateral damage in the broader regional contest.

Turkey, meanwhile, oscillates between NATO member and unpredictable regional power. President Erdogan’s policies are a volatile cocktail of neo-Ottoman dreams and realpolitik. His government’s operations in northern Syria are less about counter-terrorism or regional stability and more about eliminating Kurdish autonomy. The Syrian Kurds, who bore the brunt of the fight against ISIS, are now victims of yet another betrayal, abandoned by their supposed allies and demonized by Turkey.

Israel’s involvement is calculated and surgical, with airstrikes targeting Iranian proxies and Hezbollah positions. While its actions are often justified as self-defence, the broader impact of these strikes exacerbates instability and pushes the region further toward chaos. For Israel, Syria is a buffer zone where it can wage proxy wars without spilling over into its own territory, but this strategy offers no solace to the Syrians caught in the crossfire.

And then there’s Russia, painted in Western narratives as the omnipresent antagonist. While Moscow’s actions in Syria—from propping up the Assad regime to its heavy-handed military campaigns—are undeniably self-serving, the hypocrisy of the West’s moral outrage cannot be ignored. Russia’s interest in Syria is strategic: access to the Mediterranean, arms deals, and its own image as a global power. But in a conflict where every side has bloody hands, it’s disingenuous to cast only one player as the villain.

The echoes of Afghanistan are deafening. Forty years ago, it was the Soviet Union caught in the quagmire of a complex, multi-faceted war. The U.S., through its support of the mujahedeen, played a pivotal role in creating the chaos that would eventually engulf the region. Today, in Syria, we see a similar dynamic: foreign powers intervening under the guise of “protecting” or “liberating” while fuelling destruction.

In Afghanistan, the proxy war left a power vacuum that birthed the Taliban and, eventually, al-Qaeda. The Syrian equivalent could be the fragmentation of the country into warring factions perpetually at odds. The rise of ISIS was only the beginning, and as international powers focus on their agendas, the seeds of future instability are being sown. When the dust settles—if it ever does—the world will likely see another Afghanistan: a broken nation, haunted by foreign intervention and abandoned by its so-called liberators.

Amid the grand strategies and tactical manoeuvres, the human toll of Syria’s war often becomes a footnote. Millions displaced, cities reduced to rubble, and generations growing up knowing nothing but war. The international community’s response to the Syrian refugee crisis has been tepid at best, hypocritical at worst. Countries that enthusiastically fuel the conflict are often the least willing to deal with its consequences, leaving neighbouring nations like Lebanon, Jordan, and Turkey to shoulder the burden.

Inside Syria, the reality is even bleaker. The Assad regime, backed by Russia and Iran, clings to power through brutality, while opposition forces splinter into factions driven as much by survival as ideology. Ordinary Syrians are caught in a nightmare with no end in sight, their lives manipulated and discarded by powers far beyond their control.

The parallels to Afghanistan are not just historical; they are predictive. If the international community continues its pattern of intervention followed by indifference, Syria’s future is bleak. The war may end, but the scars, political, social, and economic, will remain for decades.

However, history does not have to repeat itself entirely. The world must recognize that Syria is not just a pawn in a geopolitical game but a nation with people whose lives matter. Solutions must prioritize rebuilding and reconciliation over military dominance and political posturing. This requires not just the withdrawal of foreign forces but also genuine investment in peace—something that has been conspicuously absent in both Afghanistan and Syria.

As we watch the tragedy of Syria unfold, we’re reminded of a painful truth: history may not repeat itself exactly, but it certainly rhymes. The players may change, but the script remains the same, written by those who see nations not as homes for people but as territories to be conquered, exploited, and discarded. Afghanistan was a tragedy that the world promised never to repeat. Yet here we are, watching history play out once more a tragedy foretold, ignored, and ultimately realized.

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